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FalsifyLab FalsifyLab Alpha MCP

confluence_today

confluence_today

Cross-source signal alignment. Returns tickers and assets where two or more FalsifyLab signals stack within the last 24 hours. Higher signal_count = more conviction.

The differentiator: no other MCP server cross-stacks insider Form 4 clusters + 8-K filings + ETF flows + DeFi yields + airdrops + HL vault concentration + Polymarket whale positions in one call.

Signature

confluence_today({
  min_signals?: number,    // default 2, range 2-7
  kind?: "equity" | "crypto" | "all",  // default "all"
  limit?: number,          // 1-50, default 10
})

Returns

{
  "equity": [
    {
      "ticker": "SMCI",
      "signals": [
        {"kind": "form4_cluster", "insiders": 4, "net_buy_usd": 3_200_000},
        {"kind": "sec8k_8.01", "title": "Material agreement entered", "filed_at": "2026-05-14T13:02:00Z"}
      ],
      "signal_count": 2
    }
  ],
  "crypto": [
    {
      "asset": "ETH",
      "signals": [
        {"kind": "defi_yield", "protocol": "uniswap-v4", "apy": 345.27, "tvl_usd": 3_101_954, "chain": "base"},
        {"kind": "etf_flow", "net_flow_usd": 410_000_000, "streak_days": 5},
        {"kind": "polymarket_whale", "wallet": "0x2a2c…", "position_size_usd": 89_000}
      ],
      "signal_count": 3
    }
  ],
  "min_signals": 2,
  "kind": "all",
  "generated_at": "2026-05-14T01:55:41Z",
  "equity_count": 1,
  "crypto_count": 1
}

Example agent prompt

“Run confluence_today with min_signals=2. For each asset, explain why these signals stacking is meaningful in 2 sentences. Skip noise (DeFi LP pools with stablecoins). Highlight the most contrarian stack.”

Why this exists

Single-source alpha is noisy. Insider buying alone could be a misread of “form 4 is just employee comp.” ETF flow alone could be a one-off rotation. But form 4 + ETF flow + macro tape all pointing the same direction in 24h has historically been a stronger signal than any one alone.

This tool ingests the latest output of all FalsifyLab tools and emits tickers + assets where signals align. Lets an agent prioritize research without re-running 9 separate queries.

Free tier

24h cached, top 10 confluences. Sufficient for “what’s stacking today” questions.

Pro tier

5-minute refresh, up to 50 confluences, per-signal weighting (e.g. give insider clusters 2× weight), exclude specific signal kinds.

Caveats

  • Stablecoin DeFi pools often appear with 2+ uniswap-v4 yield signals; that’s NOT meaningful confluence. The tool exposes signal_count so agents can apply additional intent filters.
  • Time window is fixed at 24h. Anything older than 24h is excluded even if still relevant.
  • Polymarket signals require >$10k position size to qualify.

See also